January Trifecta — ^DJI
Three signals → full-year forecast (Yale Hirsch / Stock Trader's Almanac)
Historical Analysis
Average Progression by Signal Colour
Max Drawdown by Signal Colour
Annual Return (Feb–Dec) by Signal
All Years
Methodology
January Trifecta
Three signals combined produce a full-year forecast signal:
- Santa Claus Rally: Last 5 trading days of Dec + first 2 trading days of Jan positive
- First Five Days: First 5 trading days of January positive
- January Barometer: Entire January positive
Traffic Light
- 🟢 Green = all 3 met → bullish full-year signal
- 🟡 Yellow = 2 of 3 → mildly bullish
- 🟠 Orange = 1 of 3 → neutral
- 🔴 Red = 0 of 3 → bearish full-year signal