The Beauty of Noise
When noise becomes signal, patterns become profit.
Interactive Demo
From Noise to Signal
Move the slider: the grey lines show individual years of the Dow Jones. As they merge, the golden seasonal chart emerges — the statistical average. The yellow line shows the current year in the Dow Jones.
Analysis Tools
22 Tools. One Platform.
Cycles, Events, Strategies — every time frame and market event reveals its own statistical patterns.
Decade Cycle
Up to 131 years of history. Cohorts by terminal digit. Anomaly Radar and drawdown analysis.
Annual Cycle
Seasonal annual progression with presidential cycle, significance tests and percentile bands.
Monthly Cycle
Intra-month TDOM progression with de-trend indicator, heatmaps and cycle matching.
Weekdays
Weekday performance, overnight vs. intraday, weekend effect and consecutive streak analysis.
Month-End Effect
Turn of the Month effect with streak analysis, window optimisation and ToM heatmap.
Lunar Phases
Full and new moon effect, supermoon comparison and lunar calendar.
Backtest Engine
Walk-forward optimisation, grid search across time windows and AI-powered event relevance scoring. Validate every strategy before deploying it.
Plain Vanilla Strategies
24 rule-based seasonal strategies — from Sell in May to the Halloween Indicator. Equity curves, trade lists and performance metrics at the click of a button.
Risk Cycle
Seasonal drawdowns, rolling volatility and presidential cycle risk. When during the year do the largest pullbacks occur?
OPEX & VIXpiration
Options expiration (3rd Friday), Triple Witching and VIX settlement. Event windows, volatility and backtest.
Central Banks & Holidays
Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ event windows. Holiday effects by exchange (NYSE, XETRA, LSE). Streak analysis and significance.
Polymarket OddsLive
Prediction-market probabilities alongside historical seasonality. Fed rate path, BTC/ETH targets and macro risk — including Brier-score calibration.
AI Seasonality
AI Composite Score (0–10) from seasonality, drawdown, volatility and momentum. TruePath pattern matching with sigma-cone projection.
Seasonal Scanner
270+ tickers auto-ranked by AI Score. Weekly cron delivers win rates, seasonal signals and category filters.
Dashboard
All signals at a glance: AI Score, Crash Signal, Anomaly Radar, Strategies, Risk KPIs and event calendar — in one bento grid.
KI-powered
AI-Powered Analysis
Statistical testing, pattern recognition and machine learning — every feature delivers real analytical value.
AI Composite Score
5 sub-scores → one overall grade 0–10. Pattern path, trend, win rate, tracking and seasonal strength — at a glance.
Pattern Path (TruePath)
Finds the most similar historical years via correlation and projects their weighted progression into the future.
Anomaly Radar
Z-score + percentile rank of the last 10 trading days. Detects deviations from the seasonal pattern in real time.
Backtest Engine
Grid search and walk-forward for 24 strategies. Out-of-sample validation protects against overfitting.
Significance Tests
t-test and Cohen's d for every result. Radial gauges show at a glance whether a pattern is statistically robust.
Outlier Manager
IQR detection, winsorize and Isolation Forest. Filter extreme years — configurable threshold on every page.
Indicator Filter
SMA, EMA, RSI, Bollinger, MACD and LBR as AND-combined filters. Seasonality meets technical analysis.
Scanner
270+ tickers automatically scanned. Weekly cron job delivers AI scores, win rates and seasonal signals at a glance.
Preise
Jetzt starten.
Newsletter
Seasonal Insights Every Week
GDPR-compliant, unsubscribe at any time.